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Record W4400775605 · doi:10.1016/j.jacadv.2024.101122

Adoption of the PREVENT (Predicting Risk of Cardiovascular Disease EVENTs) Risk Algorithm

2024· article· en· W4400775605 on OpenAlexaff
G.B. John Mancini, Arnold Ryomoto

Bibliographic record

VenueJACC Advances · 2024
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicDiabetes, Cardiovascular Risks, and Lipoproteins
Canadian institutionsUniversity of British Columbia
Fundersnot available
KeywordsDiseaseRisk analysis (engineering)AlgorithmMedicineComputer scienceInternal medicine

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Background: The PREVENT (Predicting Risk of cardiovascular disease EVENTs risk algorithm was developed to better reflect the impact of metabolic factors on cardiovascular risk. Objectives: The purpose of this study was to compare the relative performance of PREVENT with standard comparator algorithms (Framingham risk score, pooled cohort equation, SCORE2 [Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation2]) for risk stratification emphasizing the implications of weighing chronic kidney disease. Methods: ). The concordance and reclassification rates were calculated for each category of risk with emphasis on subjects characterized as moderate risk by the standard comparator algorithms. Results: PREVENT demonstrated increased risk with progressive decreases in eGFR. When the standard comparator algorithms identified moderate risk, PREVENT was concordant in 6% to 88% of simulations. In simulations with normal eGFR, PREVENT identified a lower risk in 18% to 88% and a higher risk in 0% to 12% of simulations. Conversely, with abnormal eGFR, PREVENT identified lower risk in 0% to 26% and higher risk in 4% to 94% of simulations. Conclusions: PREVENT substantially reclassifies risk and has the potential to alter prevention practice patterns. The tendency to assign a lower risk compared to standard algorithms when eGFR is normal may diminish implementation of preventive therapy. National health care systems need to monitor whether such changes improve overall public health.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Other design · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.976
Threshold uncertainty score0.481

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.002
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.006
GPT teacher head0.234
Teacher spread0.227 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designOther design
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations7
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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