Evidence for an adult summer diapause in mountain pine beetle (Coleoptera: Curculionidae) that varies geographically and among haplogroups
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Identifying dormancy traits is important for predicting insect population success, particularly in a changing climate that could disrupt evolved traits. The mountain pine beetle (Dendroctonus ponderosae Hopkins) is native to North America, is responsible for millions of acres of tree mortality, and is expanding northward in Canada. Research has identified thermal traits important to epidemic-phase ecology that vary among populations. Genomic research identified 3 mountain pine beetle haplogroups representing Pleistocene glacial refugia. Significant variation in generation timing aligning with the haplogroups has been observed. The adult stage was previously identified as the likely cause of differences among populations, although the mechanism(s) remain unclear. We tested for an adult summer diapause that varies among populations from 2 haplogroups, southern Colorado (CO) (central haplogroup) and southern Idaho (ID) (eastern haplogroup) using respirometry and reproduction experiments. Warm temperatures (25 °C) resulted in reduced respiration rates of central haplogroup mountain pine beetle compared to a cool temperature treatment (15 °C), whereas respiration of the eastern haplogroup did not differ between the treatments. Mated pairs of central haplogroup mountain pine beetle reared/held at 15 °C were more likely to be classified with a higher reproductive success rating compared to pairs reared/held at 25 °C. These results support a facultative summer adult diapause in southern CO central haplogroup mountain pine beetle. Manifestation of this diapause was low/absent among adults from the northerly ID location. This diapause likely serves to maintain univoltinism shown to be important for mountain pine beetle epidemic-phase ecology. The variation occurring among haplogroups highlights the long-term, evolved processes driving local adaptations in mountain pine beetle.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".