Historical and morphological evidence for a remnant population of Lake Erie cisco Coregonus artedi (albus) in Crystal Lake, Pennsylvania
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The cisco (Coregonus artedi) population in Crystal Lake, Pennsylvania, is of great scientific interest as it either originated from Lake Erie or Lake Ontario. Cisco in Lake Erie once supported the largest freshwater fishery in the world, but populations were extirpated by 1960. We conducted a morphological analysis of Crystal Lake cisco to determine whether it was consistent with a distinctive Lake Erie form (albus), which was also historically documented, albeit rarely, in western Lake Ontario. Using principal component analysis, we compared eight morphometric ratios and one meristic from our Crystal Lake cisco collection with historical and contemporary collections of cisco from Lakes Erie and Ontario. Maximum likelihood ellipse overlaps between Crystal Lake cisco and presumed albus (the dominant Lake Erie form prior to extirpation) collections averaged 54%. For all groups, the greatest morphological overlap (73.9%) occurred between Crystal Lake and 1957 Lake Erie cisco, which only differed from Crystal Lake cisco in dorsal fin length. Alternatively, overlap between Crystal Lake cisco and all other Lake Ontario collections averaged 3.2%. Our results demonstrate that Crystal Lake cisco are likely an albus form; furthermore, historical documentation and our morphological results suggest a Lake Erie origin. Substantial overlap between Crystal Lake cisco and Lake Ontario albus collected in 1917 is likely explained by continuous entrainment of Lake Erie larvae into Lake Ontario. We suspect this created an albus metapopulation spanning Lakes Erie and Ontario, yet albus are no longer observed in either lake today.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".