Causal effects of genetically determined blood metabolites on asthma: a bidirectional Mendelian randomization study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Objective The observational association between blood metabolites and asthma has been extensively studied. However, it is still unclear whether this association is causal. In this study, we aimed to investigate the causal relationship between blood metabolites and asthma using a bidirectional Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis. Additionally, we aimed to explore the potential mechanisms underlying this relationship.Methods The study design involved the use of genetic instruments as instrumental variables (IVs) to fulfill the assumptions of MR analysis. The data on 1,091 metabolites and 309 metabolite ratios were obtained from the Canadian Longitudinal Study on Aging (CLSA), while the data on asthma were obtained from the Integrative Epidemiology Unit (IEU) Open GWAS Project. Utilizing the inverse variance-weighted (IVW) method as the primary MR analysis approach, sensitivity tests were conducted to assess the reliability of the findings, which involved employing Cochran’s Q and the MR-Egger intercept. Furthermore, Bayesian weighted MR was used to further test the robustness of the results. Additionally, pathway analysis was conducted to explore the metabolic explanations underlying asthma.Result In our study, a comprehensive MR Analysis identified 10 metabolites and 6 metabolite ratios significantly associated with the development of asthma (FDR < 0.05). The metabolites included glycerophosphocholines(GPCs), glycerophosphoethanolamines(GPEs), and an unknown metabolite. Of these, 1-arachidonoyl-GPC, 1-myristoyl-2-arachidonoyl-GPC, 1-palmitoyl-2-arachidonoyl-GPC, and 1-(1-enyl-palmitoyl)-2-arachidonoyl-GPC were associated with an increased risk of asthma, whereas 1,2-dilinoleoyl-GPC, 1-palmitoyl-2-linoleoyl-GPC, 1,2-dilinoleoyl-GPE, 1 − oleoyl − 2 − linoleoyl − GPE, 1-palmitoyl-2-linoleoyl-GPE, and X-21470 were found to have a protective effect. No heterogeneity and pleiotropy were observed in the significant metabolites (p > 0.05), and each metabolite exhibited a consistent effect direction across all five methods. BWMR analysis results confirmed the significance and direction of effects across exposures, except for Cholesterol to linoleoyl-arachidonoyl-glycerol ratio(p = 0.673). Pathway analysis suggests that glycerophospholipid metabolism may potentially be a mechanism underlying the development of asthma.Conclusion Our MR findings suggest that the identified metabolites and pathways can serve as biomarkers for clinical asthma screening and prevention, while also providing new insights for future mechanistic exploration and drug target selection.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".