Integrated drug resistance and leukemic stemness gene-expression scores predict outcomes in large cohort of over 3500 AML patients from 10 trials
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
In this study, we leveraged machine-learning tools by evaluating expression of genes of pharmacological relevance to standard-AML chemotherapy (ara-C/daunorubicin/etoposide) in a discovery-cohort of pediatric AML patients (N = 163; NCT00136084 ) and defined a 5-gene-drug resistance score (ADE-RS5) that was predictive of outcome (high MRD1 positivity p = 0.013; lower EFS p < 0.0001 and OS p < 0.0001). ADE-RS5 was integrated with a previously defined leukemic-stemness signature (pLSC6) to classify patients into four groups. ADE-RS5, pLSC6 and integrated-score was evaluated for association with outcome in one of the largest assembly of ~3600 AML patients from 10 independent cohorts (1861 pediatric and 1773 adult AML). Patients with high ADE-RS5 had poor outcome in validation cohorts and the previously reported pLSC6 maintained strong significant association in all validation cohorts. For pLSC6/ADE-RS5-integrated-score analysis, using Group-1 (low-scores for ADE-RS5 and pLSC6) as reference, Group-4 (high-scores for ADE-RS5 and pLSC6) showed worst outcome (EFS: p < 0.0001 and OS: p < 0.0001). Groups-2/3 (one high and one low-score) showed intermediate outcome (p < 0.001). Integrated score groups remained an independent predictor of outcome in multivariable-analysis after adjusting for established prognostic factors (EFS: Group 2 vs. 1, HR = 4.68, p < 0.001, Group 3 vs. 1, HR = 3.22, p = 0.01, and Group 4 vs. 1, HR = 7.26, p < 0.001). These results highlight the significant prognostic value of transcriptomics-based scores capturing disease aggressiveness through pLSC6 and drug resistance via ADE-RS5. The pLSC6 stemness score is a significant predictor of outcome and associates with high-risk group features, the ADE-RS5 drug resistance score adds further value, reflecting the clinical utility of simultaneous testing of both for optimizing treatment strategies.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it