The Medical Complexity of Newly Admitted Long-Term Care Residents Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic in Ontario, British Columbia, and Alberta: A Serial Cross-Sectional Study
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic had profound effects on the long-term care (LTC) setting worldwide, including changes in admission practices. We aimed to describe the characteristics and medical complexity of newly admitted LTC residents before (March 1, 2019 to February 29, 2020) and during (March 1, 2020 to March 31, 2021) the COVID-19 pandemic via a population-based serial cross-sectional study in Ontario, Alberta, and British Columbia, Canada. With data from the Minimum Data Set 2.0 we characterize the medical complexity of newly admitted LTC residents via the Geriatric 5Ms framework (mind, mobility, medication, multicomplexity, matters most) through descriptive statistics (counts, percentages), stratified by pandemic wave, month, and province. We included 45 756 residents admitted in the year prior to and 35 744 during the first year of the pandemic. We found an increased proportion of residents with depression, requiring extensive assistance with activities of daily living, hip fractures, antipsychotic use, expected to live <6 months, with pneumonia, low social engagement, and admitted from acute care. Our study confirms an increase in medical complexity of residents admitted to LTC during the pandemic and can be used to plan services and interventions and as a baseline for continued monitoring in changes in population characteristics over time.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.003 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it