Myocardial Strain Measured by Cardiac Magnetic Resonance Predicts Cardiovascular Morbidity and Death
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Myocardial strain using cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) is a sensitive marker for predicting adverse outcomes in many cardiac disease states, but the prognostic value in the general population has not been studied conclusively. OBJECTIVES: The goal of this study was to assess the independent prognostic value of CMR feature tracking (FT)-derived LV global longitudinal (GLS), circumferential (GCS), and radial strain (GRS) metrics in predicting adverse outcomes (heart failure, myocardial infarction, stroke, and death). METHODS: Participants from the UK Biobank population imaging study were included. Univariable and multivariable Cox models were used for each outcome and each strain marker (GLS, GCS, GRS) separately. The multivariable models were tested with adjustment for prognostically important clinical features and conventional global LV imaging markers relevant for each outcome. RESULTS: Overall, 45,700 participants were included in the study (average age 65 ± 8 years), with a median follow-up period of 3 years. All univariable and multivariable models demonstrated that lower absolute GLS, GCS, and GRS were associated with increased incidence of heart failure, myocardial infarction, stroke, and death. All strain markers were independent predictors (incrementally above some respective conventional LV imaging markers) for the morbidity outcomes, but only GLS predicted death independently: (HR: 1.18; 95% CI: 1.07-1.30). CONCLUSIONS: In the general population, LV strain metrics derived using CMR-FT in radial, circumferential, and longitudinal directions are strongly and independently predictive of heart failure, myocardial infarction, and stroke, but only GLS is independently predictive of death in an adult population cohort.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".