Consistency of Delusion Themes Across First and Subsequent Episodes of Psychosis
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Importance: Despite growing interest in the phenomenology of delusions in psychosis, at present little is known about their content and evolution over time, including whether delusion themes are consistent across episodes. Objective: To examine the course of delusions and thematic delusion content across relapse episodes in patients presenting to an early intervention service for psychosis. Design, Setting, and Participants: This longitudinal, observational study used clinical data systematically collected from January 2003 to March 2018 from a cohort of consenting patients with affective or nonaffective first-episode psychosis, followed up naturalistically for up to 2 years in an early intervention service for psychosis in Montréal, Quebec, Canada. Data included the thematic content and severity of delusions (scores ≥3 using the Scale for the Assessment of Positive Symptoms) and associated psychotic and nonpsychotic symptoms, both across an initial episode and, in the event of remission, a potential relapse. Data were analyzed from September 2021 to February 2023. Exposure: An early intervention service for psychosis, organized around intensive case management and a multidisciplinary team approach, which observed each patient for up to 2 years of care. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was positive symptom relapse and remission, including the presence and content of delusions, which was coded per the Scale for the Assessment of Positive Symptoms and accepted definitions. The main statistical measures included repeated paired-sample t tests and binary logistic regression analyses. Results: Of 636 consenting patients, mean (SD) age was 23.8 (4.75) years; 191 patients were female, 444 were male, and 1 patient was nonbinary. Remission rates were high, and relapse rates were relatively low: 591 individuals had baseline delusions, of which 558 (94.4%) achieved remission. Of these 558 patients, only 182 (32.6%) had a subsequent relapse to a second or later episode of psychosis. Of the 182 patients who did relapse, however, a large proportion (115 [63.2%]) reported threshold-level delusions. Of these 115, 104 patients (90.4%) had thematic delusion content consistent with that reported during the index (first) episode. Those who relapsed with delusions had fewer delusion themes present during subsequent episodes of psychosis compared with the index episode and lower levels of other psychotic and nonpsychotic symptoms. Conclusions and Relevance: Specialized early intervention services for psychosis can achieve high rates of sustained remission. However, in this study, the minority of individuals with delusions who later relapsed experienced similar delusion themes during subsequent episodes. These findings raise important considerations for the conceptualization of delusions and have clinical implications for trajectories of illness and care.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.015 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".