Assessing the importance of detailed forest inventory information using stochastic programming
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Errors in forest inventory data can lead to sub-optimal management decisions and dramatic economic losses. Forest inventory approaches are typically evaluated by their levels of precision and accuracy; however, this overlooks the specific usefulness of the data in decision-making. By evaluating the value of information (VoI), we can assess the usefulness of the data for specific decision-making problems. We evaluated the VoI through stochastic programming for four airborne laser scanning-based inventory approaches. The stochastic programming model explored the trade-off between the maximal net present value and the minimal conditional value at risk of meeting specified periodic income targets. We evaluated a range of periodic targets and risk aversion preference levels. To compare the performance of the inventory approaches, we used a reference dataset that was acquired using a forest harvester with precise positioning. For a wide range of the trade-offs, inventory approaches with higher-quality information provided the best overall performance. If only one of the extreme objectives was desired, less precise inventory approaches were sufficient to produce high-quality solutions.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.012 | 0.030 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".