Machine Learning Guided AQFEP: A Fast and Efficient Absolute Free Energy Perturbation Solution for Virtual Screening
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Structure-based methods in drug discovery have become an integral part of the modern drug discovery process. The power of virtual screening lies in its ability to rapidly and cost-effectively explore enormous chemical spaces to select promising ligands for further experimental investigation. Relative free energy perturbation (RFEP) and similar methods are the gold standard for binding affinity prediction in drug discovery hit-to-lead and lead optimization phases, but have high computational cost and the requirement of a structural analog with a known activity. Without a reference molecule requirement, absolute FEP (AFEP) has, in theory, better accuracy for hit ID, but in practice, the slow throughput is not compatible with VS, where fast docking and unreliable scoring functions are still the standard. Here, we present an integrated workflow to virtually screen large and diverse chemical libraries efficiently, combining active learning with a physics-based scoring function based on a fast absolute free energy perturbation method. We validated the performance of the approach in the ranking of structurally related ligands, virtual screening hit rate enrichment, and active learning chemical space exploration; disclosing the largest reported collection of free energy simulations to date.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.004 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".