Air Traffic and Usage Predictions in Avionic Communications using Attention Based VAEGAN Model
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The need for uninterrupted connection is an enabler for enhanced connectivity in aircrafts. Satellite based communication in aircrafts exhibits high latency and can have limited data rates. Furthermore, the increasing demand for air travel can strain the capacity of satellite communication systems, necessitating the development of more robust traffic prediction methods. This necessity is particularly pronounced in the realm of business aviation, given the irregular traffic patterns compared to scheduled commercial flights. In this paper, we present an attention-based VAEGAN model designed to forecast the number of active tails within satellite beams. We extend the capabilities of our proposed model to predict the volume of upstream and downstream usage within these satellite beams. To validate our model, we employ real avionics data collected from the two most heavily traversed flight routes. Finally, we perform a comparative analysis, benchmarking the performance of existing machine learning-based techniques with our proposed model. The findings indicate that the proposed VAEGAN model exhibits superior performance in forecasting irregularities in the timeseries pattern, specifically in forecasting unusual highs or lows in the number of aircrafts within the satellite beam, outperforming alternative models.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it