A machine learning-based simulation metamodeling method for dynamic scheduling in smart manufacturing systems
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Conventional Digital Twins (DTs) in smart manufacturing rely on complex and time-intensive simulation models, hindering real-time DT-based decision-making. However, the availability of big data in Manufacturing Execution Systems (MES) enables training different Machine Learning (ML) models for fast and accurate predictions and decision assessments. Accordingly, this paper proposes an ML-Based Simulation Metamodeling Method (MLBSM) to facilitate DT-based decision-making for dynamic production scheduling in complex Stochastic Flexible Job Shop (SFJS) environments. The proposed MLBSM integrates three modules: a novel data vectorizing method (SPBM), multi-output Adaptive Boosting Regressor (ABR) models, and a new statistical risk evaluation method. SPBM converts unstructured production log data into numerical vectors for ABR training by calculating numeric penalty scores for each job based on the position of operations in the schedule queue. Each trained ABR predicts mean job completion times for various dynamic scenarios based on shift schedules. The risk evaluation method estimates the standard deviation of job completion times and calculates the delay probability scores for each job, aiding DT in promptly evaluating production schedules. Working seamlessly together, MLBSM modules present a novel way of using production log data for ML training and ultimately bypassing several computationally intensive simulation replications. In this research, a simulation model generates the synthetic MES data, focusing on the machining process at a photolithography workstation in the semiconductor manufacturing. Experiments demonstrate the MLBSM’s accuracy and efficiency, predicting high-risk jobs with over 80% recall and being at least 70 times faster than conventional simulation runs. Sensitivity analyses also confirm the MLBSM’s consistency under different workstation conditions. • A Virtual Fab is created to reflect operational constraints of a complex factory. • A new sequencing priority-based method is proposed to vectorize production log data. • A Machine Learning (ML) model is trained on vectorized dataset. • A new empirical statistical method is presented to evaluate risk scores for jobs. • The ML model and risk evaluation method are used to develop a simulation metamodel.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it