Trends in sedimentary Cladocera and metal(loid)s from Williams Lake (Washington, USA) track ∼125 years of trans-boundary contamination from smelter emissions in the upper Columbia River valley
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The lead‑zinc smelter at Trail (British Columbia, Canada) has operated continuously for ∼125 years, with long-standing concerns that transboundary metal(loid) and sulphur emissions have contaminated water bodies in both western Canada and Washington (WA), USA. To assess aquatic ecosystems affected by over a century of industrial contamination requires an understanding of pre-smelting conditions. Here, we use a dated sediment core from Williams Lake (WA), downwind of both the Trail and the short-lived LeRoi (Northport, WA) smelters, to track regional contaminant history and other environmental stressors. Specifically, we examine a selection of chemical elements, cladoceran assemblages, visible range spectroscopy-inferred chlorophyll a (VRS-Chl a) and visible near-infrared spectroscopy-inferred lake-water total organic carbon (VNIRS-TOC). Sedimentary proxies recorded the onset of smelting in 1896 CE, peak periods of aerial emissions in the early to mid-20th century, and the history of emission controls. With a few exceptions, sedimentary metal(loid)s exceeded Canadian Interim Sediment Quality Guidelines during the height of the smelting era and have declined substantially since ca. 2000 CE. The loss of metal-sensitive Cladocera and declines in primary production (VRS-Chl a) at the onset of the regional smelting era indicate a strong biological response to airborne industrial contamination. The largest cladoceran change in the sediment record was concurrent with accelerated mitigation efforts at the Trail facilities following the 1960s; however, this compositional shift was between ecologically similar daphniid taxa. Steep declines in VNIRS-TOC concentrations during the period of peak emissions at Trail suggested an increase in sulphur deposition on the landscape that reduced terrestrial carbon supply. However, the persistence of calcium-sensitive daphniids throughout the record indicates that alkaline Williams Lake had not acidified. Current cladoceran assemblages remain substantially distinct from pre-industrial communities, demonstrating how paleoecotoxicological approaches can be used to track the effects of multiple stressors in a temporally appropriate context.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.004 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".