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Record W4401882436 · doi:10.1038/s44284-024-00106-9

Progress and gaps in climate change adaptation in coastal cities across the globe

2024· article· en· W4401882436 on OpenAlexaff
Mia Wannewitz, Idowu Ajibade, Katharine J. Mach, Alexandre Magnan, Jan Petzold, Diana Reckien, Nícola Ulibarrí, Armen Agopian, Vasiliki Ι. Chalastani, Tom Hawxwell, Lam Thi Mai Huynh, Christine Kirchhoff, Rebecca K. Miller, Justice Issah Musah-Surugu, Gabriela Nagle Alverio, Miriam Nielsen, Abraham Marshall Nunbogu, Brian Pentz, Andrea Reimuth, Giulia Scarpa, Nadia Seeteram, Iván Villaverde Canosa, Jingyao Zhou

Bibliographic record

VenueNature Cities · 2024
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicClimate Change, Adaptation, Migration
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Waterloo
FundersJapan Society for the Promotion of ScienceNederlandse Organisatie voor Wetenschappelijk OnderzoekJoint Programming Initiative Urban EuropeBundesministerium für Bildung und ForschungEuropean CommissionDivision of Civil, Mechanical and Manufacturing InnovationNational Science Foundation
KeywordsVulnerability (computing)Adaptation (eye)Climate changeGlobeTransformative learningEmpirical evidenceGeographyEnvironmental resource managementScope (computer science)Climate change adaptationEnvironmental planningEnvironmental scienceSociologyEcology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Coastal cities are at the frontlines of climate change impacts, resulting in an urgent need for substantial adaptation. To understand whether, and to what extent, cities are on track to prepare for climate risks, this paper systematically assesses the academic literature to evaluate evidence on climate change adaptation in 199 coastal cities worldwide. Results show that adaptation in coastal cities is rather slow, of narrow scope and not transformative. Adaptation measures are predominantly designed based on past and current—rather than future—patterns in hazards, exposure and vulnerability. City governments, particularly in high-income countries, are more likely to implement institutional and infrastructural responses, whereas coastal cities in lower-middle-income countries often rely on households to implement behavioral adaptation. There is comparatively little published knowledge on coastal urban adaptation in low- and middle-income countries, and regarding particular adaptation types such as ecosystem-based adaptation. These insights make an important contribution for tracking adaptation progress globally and help to identify entry points for improving adaptation of coastal cities in the future. This study performs a systematic review of empirical evidence for climate change adaptation in coastal cities around the world. It found that reported adaptation is mostly slow, narrow, and not transformative as coastal cities predominantly focus their adaptation on past and current challenges, and not future scenarios of risk.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.017
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.037
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Review · Consensus signal: Review
Teacher disagreement score0.034
Threshold uncertainty score0.089

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0170.037
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.002
Bibliometrics0.0070.015
Science and technology studies0.0010.002
Scholarly communication0.0040.005
Open science0.0010.003
Research integrity0.0010.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0040.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.070
GPT teacher head0.354
Teacher spread0.284 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreReview

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations75
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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