CT radiomics-based biomarkers can predict response to immunotherapy in hepatocellular carcinoma
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) remains a leading cause of cancer deaths. Despite the rise of immunotherapies, many HCC patients don't benefit. There's a clear need for biomarkers to guide treatment decisions. This research aims to identify such biomarkers by combining radiological data and machine learning. We analyzed clinical and CT imaging data of 54 HCC patients undergoing immunotherapy. Radiologic features were examined to develop a model predicting short-term immunotherapy effects. We utilized 9 machine learning and 2 ensemble learning techniques using RapidMiner for model construction. We conducted the validation of the above feature combination using 29 HCC patients who received immunotherapy from another hospital, and tested and validated it using XGBoost combined with a genetic algorithm. In 54 HCC patients, radiomics features varied significantly between those with partial response (PR) and stable disease (SD). Key features in Gray Level Run Length Matrix (GLRLM) and in adjacent tissues' Intensity Direct, Neighborhood Gray Tone Difference Matrix (NGTDM), and Shape correlated with short-term immunotherapy efficacy. Selected feature combinations of 15, 19, and 8/15 features yielded better outcomes. Deep learning, random forest, and naive bayes outperformed other methods, with Bagging being more reliable than Adaboost. In the validation set of 29 HCC patients, the mentioned feature combination also demonstrated favorable performance. Furthermore, we achieved improved results when employing XGBoost in conjunction with a genetic algorithm for testing and validation. The machine learning model built with CT image features derived from GLCM, GLRLM, IntensityDirect, NGTDM, and Shape can accurately forecast the short-term efficacy of immunotherapy for HCC.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.005 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".