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Record W4401995533 · doi:10.55982/openpraxis.16.3.603

A Hopeful Future? Preparedness and Optimism-Pessimism About the Future of Post-secondary Education

2024· article· en· W4401995533 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Nicole Johnson, Jeff Seaman, Julia E. Seaman

Bibliographic record

VenueOpen Praxis · 2024
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicYouth Education and Societal Dynamics
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPessimismOptimismPreparednessPsychologyPedagogyPolitical scienceSociologySocial psychologyEpistemology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

This study investigates the following research questions in the Canadian and US contexts: 1) To what extent do those working at post-secondary institutions expect the future of post-secondary education to change over the next five years? 2) Do they feel ready for the changes that the future might bring? 3) Are they feeling optimistic or pessimistic about the future? In Spring 2023, Bay View Analytics and the Canadian Digital Learning Research Association (CDLRA) conducted US and Canadian survey studies to address these questions. Overall, the findings from both countries suggest that those working in post-secondary education expect the future to be different from the present and rate themselves as somewhat ready for these changes. Feelings of optimism and pessimism vary by country and may be explained by contextual factors unique to the differences between Canadian and US culture and policies; however, the qualitative analysis did not reveal any distinctive reasons for such differences. Overall, the findings clearly indicate that post-secondary education is well-poised for further digital transformation in the near future.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.006
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.011
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Qualitative · Consensus signal: Qualitative
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.029
Threshold uncertainty score0.057

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0060.011
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0040.006
Scholarly communication0.0060.003
Open science0.0010.003
Research integrity0.0010.004
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.013
GPT teacher head0.340
Teacher spread0.327 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designQualitative
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations3
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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