Prepared for the silver tsunami? An examination of municipal old-age dependency and age-friendly policy in Ontario, Canada
Bibliographic record
Abstract
In many countries, the proportion of older adults (over 65 years of age) is increasing. Such changes in population challenge the viability of economic systems, because older citizens are dependent on a smaller working population. The World Health Organization developed the age-friendly cities framework and corresponding certification system to encourage local municipalities to develop their own policies to support their aging population. This paper explores the relationship between population aging in individual municipalities and the policy response (or lack thereof) in Ontario, Canada. Our demographic analysis found that old-age dependency is expected to rise in every Ontario municipality, regardless of size. Small municipalities are expected to experience the most severe increases in old-age dependency and are least likely to have started any community level planning for older adults. In addition to the demographic and policy analysis, we outline recommendations on how to encourage municipalities to support their aging populations.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.006 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.008 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.016 | 0.003 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.004 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.004 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".