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Clopidogrel and Aspirin Initiated Between 24 to 72 Hours for Mild Ischemic Stroke

2024· article· en· W4402307928 on OpenAlexaff
Yuetong Liu, Jinguo Zhao, Ying Gao, Weiqi Chen, S. Claiborne Johnston, Philip M. Bath, Pierre Amarenco, Hongyi Yan, Xuan Wang, Yingying Yang, Tingting Wang, Yongjun Wang, Yuesong Pan, Yilong Wang

Bibliographic record

VenueJAMA Network Open · 2024
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicAcute Ischemic Stroke Management
Canadian institutionsMcMaster UniversityPopulation Health Research Institute
FundersNational Institute for Health and Care Research
KeywordsMedicineAspirinClopidogrelStroke (engine)PlaceboRandomized controlled trialRandomizationAnesthesiaClinical trialInternal medicineSubgroup analysisMulticenter trialMulticenter studyConfidence interval

Abstract

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Importance: Prior trials showed that dual antiplatelet therapy could reduce the risk of early new stroke in patients with acute mild ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) within 24 hours of symptom onset. However, it is currently uncertain whether dual antiplatelet therapy can reduce the risk of early new stroke in patients with a more delayed initiation time window. Objective: To evaluate the efficacy and safety of clopidogrel and aspirin among patients with mild ischemic stroke or TIA when initiated within 24 hours, from more than 24 hours to 48 hours, and from more than 48 hours to 72 hours. Design, Setting, and Participants: The Intensive Statin and Antiplatelet Therapy for Acute High-Risk Intracranial or Extracranial Atherosclerosis randomized clinical trial was a double-blind, placebo-controlled, multicenter, 2-by-2 factorial randomized clinical trial conducted at 222 hospitals in China from September 17, 2018, to October 15, 2022. All patients with acute mild ischemic stroke and TIA were included in this subgroup analysis and categorized into 3 groups according to time from symptom onset to randomization (group 1: ≤24 hours; group 2: >24 to ≤48 hours; and group 3: >48 to 72 hours). Patients were followed up for 90 days. Interventions: All patients received clopidogrel combined with aspirin (clopidogrel 300 mg loading dose on day 1, followed by 75 mg daily on days 2 to 90, and aspirin 100 to 300 mg on the first day and then 100 mg daily for days 2 to 90) or aspirin alone (100 to 300 mg on day 1 and then 100 mg daily for days 2 to 90) within 72 hours after symptom onset. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was new stroke (ischemic or hemorrhagic) within 90 days. The primary safety outcome was moderate-to-severe bleeding, according to Global Utilization of Streptokinase and Tissue Plasminogen Activator for Occluded Coronary Arteries criteria. Results: This analysis included a total of 6100 patients (3050 in the clopidogrel-aspirin group and 3050 in the aspirin group). The median age was 65 years (IQR, 57-71 years), and 3915 patients (64.2%) were male. In the population with time to randomization of 24 hours or less, stroke occurred in the next 90 days in 97 of 783 patients (12.4%); among those randomized from more than 24 hours to 48 hours, in 211 of 2552 patients (8.3%) among those randomized from more than 24 hours to 48 hours, and in 193 of 2765 patients (7.0%). The clopidogrel-aspirin group had a lower risk of new stroke within 90 days compared with the aspirin alone group both in patients with time to randomization of from 48 to 72 hours (5.8% vs 8.2%; hazard ratio [HR], 0.70 [95% CI, 0.53-0.94]), of more than 24 to 48 hours (7.6% vs 8.9%; HR, 0.85 [95% CI, 0.65-1.12]), and of 24 hours or less (11.5% vs 13.4%; HR, 0.83 [95% CI, 0.55-1.25]) (P = .38 for interaction). Among those with time to randomization of more than 48 to 72 hours, moderate-to-severe bleeding occurred in 12 patients (0.9%) in the clopidogrel-aspirin group and in 6 patients (0.4%) in the aspirin-alone group (HR, 2.00 [95% CI, 0.73-5.43]), while moderate-to-severe bleeding in those with time to randomization of more than 24 hours to 48 hours occurred in 9 patients (0.7%) in the clopidogrel-aspirin group and in 4 patients (0.3%) in the aspirin-alone group (HR, 2.25 [95% CI, 0.68-7.39]) and in those with time to randomization of within 24 hours, occurred in 6 patients (1.5%) in the clopidogrel-aspirin group and in 3 patients (0.8%) in the aspirin-alone group (HR, 1.57 [95% CI, 0.36-6.83]) (P = .92 for interaction). Conclusions and Relevance: In this randomized clinical trial of antiplatelet therapy in China, patients with mild ischemic stroke or TIA had consistent benefit from dual antiplatelet therapy with clopidogrel and aspirin vs aspirin alone when initiated within 72 hours after symptom onset, with a similar increase in the risk of moderate-to-severe bleeding. Patients should receive dual antiplatelet therapy with clopidogrel and aspirin within 72 hours after symptom onset. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03635749.

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How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.103
Threshold uncertainty score0.961

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.065
GPT teacher head0.341
Teacher spread0.276 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations9
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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