Passive Seismology: Lightweight and Rapid Detection of Arctic Subsea and Sub‐Aquatic Permafrost
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Low sea levels during the last Ice Age exposed millions of square kilometers of Arctic shelves which have been subsequently submerged, creating subsea permafrost. In onshore settings, permafrost can also exist beneath water bodies such as coastal lagoons, rivers, and thermokarst lakes. We explored passive seismology as a method for mapping unfrozen sediment thickness above subsea and sub‐aquatic permafrost. We present passive seismic data collected with the Mobile Ocean Bottom Seismic Instrument (MOBSI) from the Beaufort Sea near Tuktoyaktuk in Canada, Ivashkina Lagoon on the Bykovsky Peninsula, as well as a lake and river in the Lena Delta, Siberia, Russia. We use borehole data and frost probe measurements to identify permafrost‐related H/V measurement peaks and calibrate shear wave velocities for frequency‐to‐depth conversion. We employ the shortest path and maximum signal amplitude to connect peaks and generate geological profiles. The MOBSI detected the ice‐bonded permafrost table beneath the Beaufort Sea, as well as beneath a Siberian lake and lagoon. At Tuktoyaktuk, an ocean bottom seismometer revealed a 5% scatter about the peak frequency for three‐minute time windows and over 8 hr of recording time. With peak frequencies ranging from 4.9 ± 0.2 Hz to 27.6 ± 1.4 Hz, the depth to subsea permafrost ranged from 1.4 ± 0.1 m bsl at the shoreline to 14.0 ± 0.4 m bsl 240 m offshore. Given an accurate shear wave velocity, our findings highlight that MOBSI deployment times as short as 3 min are adequate for detecting Arctic subsea and sub‐aquatic permafrost.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".