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Assessment of Wildfire Risk on Transmission Assets

2024· article· en· W4402437066 on OpenAlexaff
Dange Huang, Bagen Bagen

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicFire effects on ecosystems
Canadian institutionsManitoba Hydro
Fundersnot available
KeywordsComputer scienceTransmission (telecommunications)Risk analysis (engineering)Environmental scienceBusinessTelecommunications

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The escalating threat of wildfires has been inflicting growing harm on power systems in recent years. Transmission lines, especially those supported by wooden poles, are susceptible to destruction by wildfires, leading to loss of load (loss of energy). It is, therefore, crucial to incorporate the unavailability of transmission lines due to wildfire into the quantitative risk assessment of power systems.Burn-P3 (probability, prediction, and planning) is a spatial fire simulation model that is commonly used in land-management planning and wildfire research. Its application can be extended to simulate the ignition and spread of wildfires in transmission corridors. The Burn-P3 outputs are quantitative, however, they do not represent the absolute annual likelihood of experiencing a wildfire. Instead, the outputs provide a measure of relative likelihood, subject to landscape alterations. A process/method is, therefore, needed to convert the burn probability map to the annual unavailability of a transmission line for risk assessment in power systems. A method is proposed to align a map with wood pole transmission lines and their corresponding burn probabilities in the area. The annual unavailability of a transmission line is assessed and applied in the loss of load and/or loss of energy studies to quantify the wildfire-related risks. The output can be utilized for capital project assessment and prioritization.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.002
Threshold uncertainty score0.007

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.005
GPT teacher head0.251
Teacher spread0.247 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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