Accuracy of an artificial intelligence-enabled diagnostic assistance device in recognizing normal chest radiographs: a service evaluation
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Objectives: Artificial intelligence (AI) enabled devices may be able to optimize radiologists' productivity by identifying normal and abnormal chest X-rays (CXRs) for triaging. In this service evaluation, we investigated the accuracy of one such AI device (qXR). Methods: A randomly sampled subset of general practice and outpatient-referred frontal CXRs from a National Health Service Trust was collected retrospectively from examinations conducted during November 2022 to January 2023. Ground truth was established by consensus between 2 radiologists. The main objective was to estimate negative predictive value (NPV) of AI. Results: A total of 522 CXRs (458 [87.74%] normal CXRs) from 522 patients (median age, 64 years [IQR, 49-77]; 305 [58.43%] female) were analysed. AI predicted 348 CXRs as normal, of which 346 were truly normal (NPV: 99.43% [95% CI, 97.94-99.93]). The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and area under the ROC curve of AI were found to be 96.88% (95% CI, 89.16-99.62), 75.55% (95% CI, 71.34-79.42), 35.63% (95% CI, 28.53-43.23), and 91.92% (95% CI, 89.38-94.45), respectively. A sensitivity analysis was conducted to estimate NPV by varying assumptions of the prevalence of normal CXRs. The NPV ranged from 88.96% to 99.54% as prevalence increased. Conclusions: The AI device recognized normal CXRs with high NPV and has the potential to increase radiologists' productivity. Advances in knowledge: There is a need for more evidence on the utility of AI-enabled devices in identifying normal CXRs. This work adds to such limited evidence and enables researchers to plan studies to further evaluate the impact of such devices.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.005 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".