A household-based online cooked meal delivery demand generation model
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Online cooked meal deliveries (CMD) have become prevalent with the advancement of on-demand delivery services offered by vendors such as Uber Eats and DoorDash. Thus, the development of a CMD demand generation model holds significant importance for CMD vendors, consumers, and policymakers. The model serves as a strategic tool for CMD vendors to address consumer needs. At the same time, it also holds substantial relevance for policymakers seeking to understand CMD demand and formulate effective regulatory measures for CMD operations. This paper presents such a modelling framework. The model is developed under the behavioural principle of random utility maximization (RUM) and explicitly represents various socioeconomic characteristics in the CMD demand generation process. The model is estimated using a Greater Toronto Area, Canada dataset. The empirical model provides insights into the factors influencing week-long CMD usage. The model also offers assessments for households’ consumer surplus brought by CMD, which can inform public policies through well-fare analysis.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".