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Record W4402712075 · doi:10.17605/osf.io/hku5e

Speaking like ordinary people, representing ordinary people?

2025· article· en· W4402712075 on OpenAlexaff
Philippe Chassé

Bibliographic record

VenueHAL (Le Centre pour la Communication Scientifique Directe) · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicPopulism, Right-Wing Movements
Canadian institutionsCollège Lionel Groulx
Fundersnot available
KeywordsComputer science

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The rise of populism in Western democracies and beyond has garnered significant attention from researchers. While the prevailing view in the literature conceptualizes populism as a “thin ideology” (Mudde 2004), other scholars contend that it is better understood as a “style of political communication” (e.g., Jagers and Walgrave 2007; Moffitt 2016; Ostiguy and Moffitt 2021). According to these researchers, a defining characteristic of populist politicians is the way they speak. Not only would they be inclined to adopt rhetoric that pits virtuous citizens against corrupt elites, but they would also tend to use simple, informal language (Moffitt and Tormey 2014). This style would reflect a desire to connect with “ordinary” people and to set themselves apart from conventional politicians. Yet, while numerous studies have examined differences in how populist politicians communicate, we still know little about citizens’ attitudes toward the language style of political candidates. Do voters prefer politicians to speak more casually, with simple words and phrases, or do they expect those seeking office to use more formal language? Do all voters share the same expectations regarding how political candidates express themselves? So far, the emerging literature on this topic has focused primarily on the effect of language complexity on voter attitudes. Bischof and Senninger (2024) demonstrate that the level of complexity of a political candidate’s language affects how citizens perceive their socioeconomic status. Kittel (2024), on the other hand, finds that German voters appear less inclined to support candidates who use simple language compared to those who use average complexity language. However, these studies exclusively explore evaluations of written content and thus cannot address how citizens respond when they hear candidates speak. It seems essential to investigate perceptions of spoken language, as the criteria for evaluating oral communication differ from those used for written content, and citizens are far more likely to hear candidates than to read them. This article will examine how language-based judgments shape the public image of political figures. Using two randomized survey experiments conducted in the United States of America, I will analyze the effects of candidates’ language styles on voter attitudes. Unlike previous research centered on the evaluation of written content, I will focus on language registers. Though registers are inherently connected to the level of complexity of spoken or written productions, they carry a more significant political dimension, as they account for the level of formality in communication and are generally associated with specific socioeconomic groups. The first study will examine the effect of language register when political candidates make non-controversial statements, while the second study will focus on the effect of register when candidates use populist rhetoric. The rationale for conducting two studies is to determine whether language register influences citizens’ attitudes independently of the type of message conveyed by the candidates. The first study constitutes a more isolated test, in which only variation in register can be associated with the populist style. The second, by contrast, serves as a more conservative test, wherein two features potentially linked to populism—register and message content—are manipulated simultaneously. In both studies, brief audio recordings representing different experimental conditions will be randomly assigned to respondents. The level of formality—and consequently, the level of complexity—of the scripts of the speeches will vary from one recording to another. After listening, respondents will rate the candidates on various personal qualities and indicate whether they feel the candidate can understand their concerns and represent their interests. They will also assess the likelihood that they would vote for the candidate.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.008
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.004
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Science and technology studies
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.636
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0080.004
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.002
Science and technology studies0.0020.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0020.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.013
GPT teacher head0.269
Teacher spread0.257 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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