Optimizing IOL Calculators with Deep Learning Prediction of Total Corneal Astigmatism
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background/Objectives: This study aims to identify the most accurate regression model for predicting total corneal astigmatism (TCA) from anterior corneal astigmatism (ACA) and to fine-tune the best model’s architecture to further optimize predictive accuracy. Methods: A retrospective review of 19,468 eyes screened for refractive surgery was conducted using electronic medical records. Corneal topography data were acquired using the Pentacam HR. Various types (7) and subtypes (21) of regression learners were tested, with a deep neural network (DNN) emerging as the most suitable. The DNN was further refined, experimenting with 23 different architectures. Model performance was evaluated using root mean squared error (RMSE), R2, average residual error, and circular error. The final model only used age, ACA magnitude, and ACA axis to predict TCA magnitude and axis. Results were compared to predictions from one of the leading TCA prediction formulas. Results: Our model achieved higher performance for TCA magnitude prediction (R2 = 0.9740, RMSE = 0.0963 D, and average residual error = 0.0733 D) compared to the leading formula (R2 = 0.8590, RMSE = 0.2257 D, and average residual error = 0.1928 D). Axis prediction error also improved by an average of 8.1° (average axis prediction error = 4.74° versus 12.8°). The deep learning approach consistently demonstrated smaller errors and tighter clustering around actual values compared to the traditional formula. Conclusion: Deep learning techniques significantly outperformed traditional methods for TCA prediction accuracy using the Pentacam HR. This approach may lead to more precise TCA calculations and better IOL selection, potentially enhancing surgical outcomes.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".