Measuring Travel Time Reliability for Urban Residents’ Commutes via the Integration of Information Entropy and Standard Deviation
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Travel Time Reliability (TTR) plays a pivotal role in commuting. Nevertheless, existing measurement methods are not specifically designed for commuting scenarios, and their direct application to assess TTR for commuting may yield results incongruent with actual commuting conditions, as they overly rely on measures like mean and percentiles. Drawing on the cyclical characteristics of commuting, the study has established a TTR measurement model based on information entropy and standard deviation, tailored to individual commuters. By selecting commuting data from extensive travel datasets and applying both this model and conventional measurement methods, the focus is on quantitatively analyzing TTR for metro commuters and car commuters under various feature conditions, with a particular emphasis on commuting to work. The objective is to verify the feasibility and advantages of the proposed model. The research indicates that, compared to typical measurement methods, this model more accurately reflects TTR for commuting purposes. The results underscore a significantly superior TTR for metro commuters over car commuters. Distance and departure time exert a substantial impact on the TTR of car commuters, while distance and transfer times moderately influence the TTR of metro commuters. These findings serve as a crucial foundation for enhancing the quality of commuting experiences.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.010 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".