Fatigue Life Prediction of a SAE Keyhole Specimen as a Subcase of Certification by Analysis
Bibliographic record
Abstract
To advance the technology of Certification by Analysis (CbA), as called for by the aerospace industry, the fatigue problems of SAE keyhole specimens are analyzed to demonstrate a subcase of CbA. First, phenomena identification and ranking table (PIRT) analysis is performed. Second, modeling of the key phenomena is conducted, and finally, verification and validation with the experimental results are achieved. In particular, the elastic/elastoplastic stress distributions in the keyhole specimens are obtained using the finite element method (FEM). Plasticity correction for stress/strain at the notch root is made using the modified Neuber's rule along with the Ramberg-Osgood equation. The low cycle fatigue (LCF) crack nucleation life is analytically predicted using the modified Tanaka-Mura model, a.k.a. the TMW model, given the material's elastic modulus, Poisson's ratio, Burgers vector, and surface energy, without the need for coupon fatigue data regression. The Tomkins equation is used to simulate plastic crack growth within the notch plastic zone. The above analytical life predictions are validated against the SAE keyhole specimen tests, becoming the first successful case of fatigue CbA at a sub-element level.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".