The nearshore aquatic environment of eastern Lake Erie: A thirty-year perspective from a monitoring station
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Dreissenid mussels arrived at the Waverly Shoal located above the inflow of the Niagara River in 1989, initiating marked changes in the water and sediment chemistry, and benthic invertebrate community composition at an Ontario Ministry of the Environment, Conservation and Parks monitoring station. Here we examine change in the nearshore of eastern Lake Erie until 2019, inferred from monitoring at this station. Dreissenid numbers peaked in 1991, exceeding 200,000 individual m-2, and remained above 20,000 individual m-2 until 2004 after which numbers progressively declined. In 1993, the population transitioned from mixed Dreissena polymorpha and D. bugensis, to D. bugensis in subsequent years. The decrease in particle size and increase in organic content of surficial sediment which began the year after mussel arrival has persisted until present time. The low concentrations of trace metals and PAHs at the station increased slightly after the physical alteration in bed sediments and has either not changed or declined. After an initial increase in Secchi depth, water clarity changed little over post invasion years, with prevailing moderate water clarity interspersed with periods of bed resuspension and high turbidity. Calcium concentration in the water column, which fell dramatically after the arrival of dreissenids, has gradually increased in recent years. Chlorophyll a and total phosphorus levels indicating oligo-mesotrophic conditions have not varied systematically over the years, other than a modest decline in chlorophyll a after dreissenid arrival. Benthic invertebrate assemblages have gone through multiple alterations, with shifting abundance of amphipods, oligochaetes, chironomids, gastropods and sphaeriids attributed to invasive species rather than the physical environment. Collectively, the data suggests the nearshore ecosystem has shifted in benthic productivity and trophic transfers mediated by the benthos and invasive species, with water and sediment quality appearing to not vary beyond the range driven by inherently fluctuating physical conditions.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.005 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".