Predicting host species susceptibility to influenza viruses and coronaviruses using genome data and machine learning: a scoping review
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Introduction Predicting which species are susceptible to viruses (i.e., host range) is important for understanding and developing effective strategies to control viral outbreaks in both humans and animals. The use of machine learning and bioinformatic approaches to predict viral hosts has been expanded with advancements in in-silico techniques. We conducted a scoping review to identify the breadth of machine learning methods applied to influenza and coronavirus genome data for the identification of susceptible host species. Methods The protocol for this scoping review is available at https://hdl.handle.net/10214/26112 . Five online databases were searched, and 1,217 citations, published between January 2000 and May 2022, were obtained, and screened in duplicate for English language and in-silico research, covering the use of machine learning to identify susceptible species to viruses. Results Fifty-three relevant publications were identified for data charting. The breadth of research was extensive including 32 different machine learning algorithms used in combination with 29 different feature selection methods and 43 different genome data input formats. There were 20 different methods used by authors to assess accuracy. Authors mostly used influenza viruses (n = 31/53 publications, 58.5%), however, more recent publications focused on coronaviruses and other viruses in combination with influenza viruses (n = 22/53, 41.5%). The susceptible animal groups authors most used were humans (n = 57/77 analyses, 74.0%), avian (n = 35/77 45.4%), and swine (n = 28/77, 36.4%). In total, 53 different hosts were used and, in most publications, data from multiple hosts was used. Discussion The main gaps in research were a lack of standardized reporting of methodology and the use of broad host categories for classification. Overall, approaches to viral host identification using machine learning were diverse and extensive.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.009 | 0.053 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.004 | 0.004 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.018 | 0.014 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.004 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".