Addressing cold start problems in new store locations with transfer learning in spatial GNNs
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The cold start problem poses a significant challenge for retailers opening new store locations, primarily due to the lack of historical sales data necessary for accurate demand forecasting and effective inventory management. This paper explores the application of transfer learning within spatial Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) as a solution to this issue. By leveraging existing data from established stores that share similar characteristics, our proposed methodology enhances the forecasting accuracy and helps mitigate the risks associated with new store openings. We detail the architecture of the spatial GNN model, which captures complex spatial relationships and customer interactions, providing richer insights into demand patterns. Experimental results demonstrate substantial improvements in forecasting performance compared to traditional methods, highlighting the potential of transfer learning to inform strategic decision-making in retail. This research aims to provide actionable insights for retailers seeking to optimize their operations in new markets.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it