Comparative Assessment of Expected Safety Performance of Freeway Automated Vehicle Managed Lanes
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The use of dedicated lanes, known as managed lanes (MLs), on freeways is an established traffic management strategy to reduce congestion. Allowing automated vehicles (AVs) in existing MLs or dedicating MLs for AVs, referred to as AVMLs, has been suggested in the literature as a tool to improve traffic operation and safety performance as AVs and driver-operated vehicles (DVs) coexist in a mixed-vehicle environment. This paper focuses on investigating the safety impacts of deploying AVMLs on freeways by repurposing general-purpose lanes (GPLs). Four ML strategies considering different lane positions and access controls were implemented in a traffic microsimulation under different AV market adoption rates (MARs) and traffic demand levels, and trajectories were used to extract rear-end and lane change conflicts. The time-to-collision (TTC) surrogate safety measure was used to identify critical conflicts using a time threshold dependent on the type of following vehicle. Rates of conflicts involving different vehicle types for all ML strategies were compared to the case of heterogeneous traffic. The results indicated that the rates of rear-end conflicts involving the same vehicle type as the lead and following vehicle, namely DV-DV and AV-AV conflicts, increased with ML implementation as more vehicles of the same type traveled in the same lane(s). By comparing the aggregated conflict rates, the design options that were deemed to negatively impact traffic efficiency and capacity were also found to negatively impact traffic safety. However, other ML options were found to be feasible in terms of traffic operation and safety performance, especially at traffic demand levels below capacity. Specifically, one left-side AVML with continuous access was found to have lower or comparable aggregated conflict rates compared to heterogenous traffic at 25% and 50% MARs, and, thus, it is expected to have positive or neutral safety impacts.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".