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Record W4403004459 · doi:10.1101/2024.09.27.615358

Implications of source-sink feedbacks for modelling tree carbon assimilation and growth

2024· preprint· en· W4403004459 on OpenAlexaff
A. D. Friend, Yizhao Chen, Annemarie Eckes‐Shephard, Patrick Fonti, Eva Hellmann, Tim Rademacher, Andrew D. Richardson, Patrick R. Thomas

Bibliographic record

VenuebioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · 2024
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicForest ecology and management
Canadian institutionsUniversité du Québec en Outaouais
FundersNatural Environment Research CouncilEngineering and Physical Sciences Research CouncilSchweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung
KeywordsSink (geography)Carbon sinkEnvironmental sciencePlant growthCarbon sourceCarbon fibersNatural resource economicsEcologyComputer scienceEconomicsAgronomyBiologyClimate changeGeography

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Current global models of vegetation dynamics are largely carbon (C) source-driven, with behaviour primarily determined by the environmental responses of photosynthesis. However, real plants operate as integrated wholes, with feedbacks between sources, such as photosynthesis, and sinks, such as growth, resulting in homeostatic concentrations of metabolites such as sugars. A parsimonious approach to implementing this homeostatic coupling of C sources and sinks in a tree growth model is presented, and its implications for the responses of net photosynthesis and growth to environmental factors and tree size assessed. Hill functions describe inhibition of C sources (net photosynthesis) and activation of sinks (structural growth) as sucrose concentration increases. The model is parameterised for a typical tree growing at a site in the Amazonian rainforest and its qualitative behaviour is found to be consistent with observations. A key outcome is that sinks and sources strongly regulate each other. Hence environmental factors that affect potential net photosynthesis, such as atmospheric CO 2 , have greatly reduced effects on growth when homeostatic feedbacks from sucrose concentrations are considered. For example, compared with a C-source-only-driven approach (as in most current global models), the response of tree biomass for a tree currently 300 yr old, to increasing atmospheric CO 2 projected to the end of this century under a high scenario, is reduced by ca.77%, from +122% to +29%, with net photosynthesis and growth rate responses reduced by a similar amount. Furthermore, in this coupled approach, any direct controls on growth (either environmental or through phenological controls on xylogensis) will influence source activity through the sucrose feedback. For example, a reduction in potential growth through temperature constraints on cell-wall construction increases sucrose concentrations, resulting in a compensating reduction in net photosynthesis. While net photosynthesis controls growth, growth controls net photosynthesis. In addition, we find a strong effect of changing tree allometry on C source-sink relations as the tree grows. Larger trees are less source-limited due to a higher ratio of sapwood area (and hence potential C assimilation rate) to potential growth rate, consistent with the observed decline in growth response to atmospheric CO 2 as trees age. We suggest that the implications of including C source-sink coupling in models of vegetation dynamics, such as dynamic global vegetation models, are likely to be profound.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.019
Threshold uncertainty score0.038

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.013
GPT teacher head0.208
Teacher spread0.195 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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