Helping CNAs Generate CVSS Scores Faster and More Confidently Using XAI
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The number of cybersecurity vulnerabilities keeps growing every year. Each vulnerability must be reported to the MITRE Corporation and assessed by a Counting Number Authority, which generates a metrics vector that determines its severity score. This process can take up to several weeks, with higher-severity vulnerabilities taking more time. Several authors have successfully used Deep Learning to automate the score generation process and used explainable AI to build trust with the users. However, the explanations that were shown were surface label input saliency on binary classification. This is a limitation, as several metrics are multi-class and there is much more we can achieve with XAI than just visualizing saliency. In this work, we look for actionable actions CNAs can take using XAI. We achieve state-of-the-art results using an interpretable XGBoost model, generate explanations for multi-class labels using SHAP, and use the raw Shapley values to calculate cumulative word importance and generate IF rules that allow a more transparent look at how the model classified vulnerabilities. Finally, we made the code and dataset open-source for reproducibility.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.027 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.015 | 0.006 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".