Investigation of geochemically induced permeability alteration in geothermal reservoirs and its implications for sustainable geothermal energy production
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Geothermal resources constitute a significant portion of the world’s low-carbon, renewable energy potential, with about 75% classified as low-temperature. One such potential resource exists in Precambrian basement rocks underlying the Williston Basin in southern Saskatchewan, Canada, with a reservoir temperature of 120 °C. However, geochemically induced permeability alteration in these highly reactive low-temperature granitoid resources poses a significant risk to long-term heat production. To assess and potentially mitigate this risk, we conducted a geochemical and mineralogical study of both altered and unaltered samples. Our findings facilitated the parameterization of geochemical simulations of water-rock interactions to predict mineral volume changes and, by extension, draw inferences on porosity and permeability changes resulting from these interactions. The simulations indicate an increased mineral volume in both samples, yet geothermal alteration of the unaltered, and thus more reactive, rocks induced relative mineral volume changes about 30% greater than those in the altered rocks. The resulting absolute change in porosity is 0.5 vol.% for the unaltered rocks and 0.35 vol.% for the altered rocks. Utilizing an empirical porosity-permeability relationship, the computed change in permeability indicates that the unaltered basement rock experienced a greater change in total permeability than the altered basement rocks. Additional calculations demonstrate the sensitivity of the porosity-permeability equation to critical porosity and power exponent, forecasting various scenarios with permeability changes ranging from 1.0 × 10 −13 to 1×10 -20 m 2 . Consequently, we infer that altered, permeable zones of the examined Precambrian basement rocks are likely to offer favourable conditions for sustained, multi-decade heat production, thus should be targeted over less altered zones to justify initial capital expenditures. Globally, geothermal heat extraction from these rocks remains an underexplored yet promising resource for generating reliable, low-carbon renewable energy, crucial in our efforts to decarbonize the global economy. • Geochemically induced permeability alteration poses a risk to sustained heat production in low temperature granitoid rocks. • Mineral composition and thermal history of both altered and unaltered samples were compared. • Altered basement rocks exhibit less alteration in mineral composition and permeability than unaltered ones. • Prioritizing altered, permeable basement rocks for sustained heat production supports low-carbon energy generation amidst global decarbonization efforts.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".