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A Direct Iterative Technique for Weibull Parameters Estimation Optimized for lowest Root Mean Square Error

2024· article· en· W4403357978 on OpenAlexaff
Mahmoud Attia El-Bayoumi

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of International Society for Science and Engineering · 2024
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicAdvanced Measurement and Metrology Techniques
Canadian institutionsNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council
Fundersnot available
KeywordsWeibull distributionStatisticsMean squared errorMathematicsSquare rootRoot mean squareEstimationApplied mathematicsEngineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Classical Weibull distribution (Weibull minima) is gaining momentum due to its employment in wind speed estimation for the growing renewable energy field. The main difficulty of Weibull distribution is that it is hard to accurately estimate its parameters for a set of wind speed data. Much research has been involved in this task with varying complexity, success, and accuracy. Statistical analysis is usually used to compare the accuracy of proposed Weibull parameters estimation methods. As the Weibull parameters of a set of data are not normally estimated, for simulation, more than once, this research considered the processing time to be of far less importance than accuracy. In this research, efforts were made to make the best use of the current PC processing power to achieve the best possible accuracy of the Weibull parameters. In the current research, an iterative technique is proposed to directly estimate the Weibull parameters that yield the best results with the most employed statistical analysis; least Root Mean Square Errors of estimation (RMSE). The results of the new technique were compared to that of the Maximum likelihood method (MLM), and a considerable improvement in accuracy, 9.3 % was achieved.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.006
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.003
Threshold uncertainty score0.008

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.006
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0020.002
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.016
GPT teacher head0.286
Teacher spread0.269 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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Same venueJournal of International Society for Science and Engineering Same topicAdvanced Measurement and Metrology TechniquesFrench-language works237,207