Host Response Markers of Inflammation and Endothelial Activation Associated with COVID-19 Severity and Mortality: A GeoSentinel Prospective Observational Cohort
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: The effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on healthcare systems emphasized the need for rapid and effective triage tools to identify patients at risk of severe or fatal infection. Measuring host response markers of inflammation and endothelial activation at clinical presentation may help to inform appropriate triage and care practices in patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection. Methods: We enrolled patients with COVID-19 across five GeoSentinel clinical sites (in Italy, Belgium, Canada, and the United States) from September 2020 to December 2021, and analyzed the association of plasma markers, including soluble urokinase-type plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR), soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor-1 (sTREM-1), interleukin-6 (IL-6), interleukin-8 (IL-8), complement component C5a (C5a), von Willebrand factor (VWF-a2), and interleukin-1 receptor antagonist (IL-1Ra), with 28-day (D28) mortality and 7-day (D7) severity (discharged, hospitalized on ward, or died/admitted to the ICU). Results: Of 193 patients, 8.9% (16 of 180) died by D28. Higher concentrations of suPAR were associated with increased odds of mortality at D28 and severity at D7 in univariable and multivariable regression models. The biomarkers sTREM-1 and IL-1Ra showed bivariate associations with mortality at D28 and severity at D7. IL-6, VWF, C5a, and IL-8 were not as indicative of progression to severe disease or death. Conclusions: Our findings confirm previous studies’ assertions that point-of-care tests for suPAR and sTREM-1 could facilitate the triage of patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection, which may help guide hospital resource allocation.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".