The Prevalence of Sickle Cell Disease in Colorado and Methodologies of the Colorado Sickle Cell Data Collection Program: Public Health Surveillance Study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: Sickle cell disease (SCD) is a genetic blood disorder that affects approximately 100,000 individuals in the United States, with the highest prevalence among Black or African American populations. While advances in care have improved survival, comprehensive state-level data on the prevalence of SCD remain limited, which hampers efforts to optimize health care services. To address this gap, the Colorado Sickle Cell Data Collection (CO-SCDC) program was established in 2021 as part of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's initiative to enhance surveillance and public health efforts for SCD. Objective: The objectives of this study were to describe the establishment of the CO-SCDC program and to provide updated estimates of the prevalence and birth prevalence of SCD in Colorado, including geographic dispersion. Additional objectives include evaluating the accuracy of case identification methods and leveraging surveillance activities to inform public health initiatives. Methods: Data were collected from Health Data Compass (a multi-institutional data warehouse) containing electronic health records from the University of Colorado Health and Children's Hospital Colorado for the years 2012-2020. Colorado newborn screening program data were included for confirmed SCD diagnoses from 2001 to 2020. Records were linked using the Colorado University Record Linkage tool and deidentified for analysis. Case definitions, adapted from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Registry and Surveillance System for Hemoglobinopathies project, classified cases as possible, probable, or definite SCD. Clinical validation by hematologists was performed to ensure accuracy, and prevalence rates were calculated using 2020 US Census population estimates. Results: In 2019, 435 individuals were identified as living with SCD in Colorado, an increase of 16%-40% over previous estimates, with the majority (n=349, 80.2%) identifying as Black or African American. The median age of individuals was 19 years. The prevalence of SCD was highest in urban counties, with concentrations in Arapahoe, Denver, and El Paso counties. Birth prevalence of SCD increased from 11.9 per 100,000 live births between 2010 and 2014 to 20.1 per 100,000 live births between 2015 and 2019 with 58.5% (n=38) of cases being hemoglobin (Hb) SS or HbSβ0 thalassemia subtypes. The study highlighted a 67% (n=26) increase in SCD births over the decade, correlating with the growth of the Black or African American population in the state. Conclusions: The CO-SCDC program successfully established the capacity to perform SCD surveillance and, in doing so, identified baseline prevalence estimates for SCD in Colorado. The findings highlight geographic dispersion across Colorado counties, highlighting the need for equitable access to specialty care, particularly for rural populations. The combination of automated data linkage and clinical validation improved case identification accuracy. Future efforts will expand surveillance to include claims data to better capture health care use and address potential underreporting. These results will guide public health interventions aimed at improving care for individuals with SCD in Colorado.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.005 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".