Comment on egusphere-2024-2820
Bibliographic record
Abstract
<strong class="journal-contentHeaderColor">Abstract.</strong> The North American Great Plains are a semi-arid and windy environment prone to dust events that produce a variety of hazards to public health, transportation, and land degradation. Dust has substantial spatial variability across the plains, and the weather responsible for that dust is understudied in most of the plains, especially the North and East. Here we identify specific weather patterns associated with dust occurrence across the plains. We make use of an atmospheric classification that defines 21 weather patterns for the Great Plains that includes various stages of warm and cold frontal passages, northerlies, anticyclones, and summertime patterns not associated with mid-latitude cyclones. We use the time series of weather pattern to composite satellite daily dust observations from 2012–2021. We calculate average dust occurrence for each weather pattern, the contribution of each pattern to local dust loads, and identify the specific weather patterns most important to each location and subregion. We find no single weather pattern is responsible for dust occurrence in the plains, but that different patterns are responsible for dust in different subregions of the Great Plains. Passing cold fronts are most responsible for dust events in western Texas and New Mexico, southerlies are responsible in the northeastern plains of from Iowa to the Dakotas, and summer weather patterns produce the majority of dust in the High Plains from Colorado to Canada. Identifying the dust-producing weather patterns of particular subregions is a valuable step toward understanding dust variability and improving dust predictions, both present and future.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.400 | 0.044 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".