MethylGPT: a foundation model for the DNA methylome
Bibliographic record
Abstract
DNA methylation serves as a powerful biomarker for disease diagnosis and biological age assessment. However, current analytical approaches often rely on linear models that cannot capture the complex, context-dependent nature of methylation regulation. Here we present MethylGPT, a transformer-based foundation model trained on 226,555 (154,063 after QC and deduplication) human methylation profiles spanning diverse tissue types from 5,281 datasets, curated 49,156 CpG sites, and 7.6 billion training tokens. MethylGPT learns biologically meaningful representations of CpG sites, capturing both local genomic context and higher-order chromosomal features without external supervision. The model demonstrates robust methylation value prediction (Pearson R=0.929) and maintains stable performance in downstream tasks with up to 70% missing data. Applied to age prediction across multiple tissue types, MethylGPT achieves superior accuracy compared to existing methods. Analysis of the model's attention patterns reveals distinct methylation signatures between young and old samples, with differential enrichment of developmental and aging-associated pathways. When finetuned to mortality and disease prediction across 60 major conditions using 18,859 samples from Generation Scotland, MethylGPT achieves robust predictive performance and enables systematic evaluation of intervention effects on disease risks, demonstrating potential for clinical applications. Our results demonstrate that transformer architectures can effectively model DNA methylation patterns while preserving biological interpretability, suggesting broad utility for epigenetic analysis and clinical applications.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".