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A vector almost-supermartingale convergence theorem and its applications

2024· article· en· W4404166821 on OpenAlex

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affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.
fundA Canadian funder is recorded on the work.

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMathematics
TopicApproximation Theory and Sequence Spaces
Canadian institutionsMcGill UniversityMila - Quebec Artificial Intelligence InstituteGroup for Research in Decision AnalysisHEC Montréal
FundersNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada
KeywordsConvergence (economics)Applied mathematicsComputer scienceMathematics

Abstract

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The almost-supermartingale convergence theorem of Robbins and Siegmund (1971) is a fundamental tool for establishing the convergence of various stochastic iterative algorithms including system identification, adaptive control, and reinforcement learning. The theorem is stated for non-negative scalar valued stochastic processes. In this paper, we generalize the theorem to non-negative vector valued stochastic processes and provide two set of sufficient conditions for such processes to converge almost surely. We present several applications of vector almost-supermartingale convergence theorem, including convergence of autoregressive supermartingales, delayed supermartingales, and stochastic approximation with delayed updates.

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Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.338
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.039
GPT teacher head0.323
Teacher spread0.284 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2024
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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