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Record W4404173431 · doi:10.3917/futur.463.0095

L’immigration au Québec

2024· article· fr· W4404173431 on OpenAlex
Ilyes Zouari

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueFuturibles · 2024
Typearticle
Languagefr
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicSocial Sciences and Governance
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPolitical science

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Le relatif déclin démographique des pays européens — quoique nettement moindre que celui du Japon —, et donc son vieillissement, bien qu’il ait été prévu depuis longtemps, fait désormais l’objet de nombreux articles alarmistes. Simultanément, de nombreux États membres de l’Union européenne s’interrogent sur les mesures de nature à limiter l’immigration de populations d’origine étrangère dans leur pays — certains d’entre eux ayant déjà adopté de telles mesures. À l’inverse, le Canada y reste très ouvert et la province du Québec particulièrement : sa croissance démographique est importante et résulte presque exclusivement de l’arrivée d’immigrants d’origines géographiques, ethniques et culturelles très diverses. Si l’immigration permanente semble se stabiliser, l’immigration temporaire (celle-ci pouvant être de plusieurs années) explose. Le ministère québécois de l’Immigration, de la Francisation et de l’Intégration, en amont d’une consultation sur la planification de l’immigration, a d’ailleurs publié des projections démographiques à l’horizon 2071 qui révèlent que, sans l’arrivée d’environ 50 000 immigrants (toutes catégories confondues) par an, la population du Québec pourrait fortement décliner. H.J.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.734
Threshold uncertainty score0.999

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.022
GPT teacher head0.308
Teacher spread0.286 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it