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Record W4404347173 · doi:10.48550/arxiv.2410.23808

One Sample Fits All: Approximating All Probabilistic Values Simultaneously and Efficiently

2024· preprint· en· W4404347173 on OpenAlexfundno aff
Wenwen Li, Yaoliang Yu

Bibliographic record

VenuearXiv (Cornell University) · 2024
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldComputer Science
TopicBayesian Modeling and Causal Inference
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaCanadian Institute for Advanced Research
KeywordsProbabilistic logicSample (material)MathematicsComputer scienceStatistical physicsStatisticsPhysicsThermodynamics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The concept of probabilistic values, such as Beta Shapley values and weighted Banzhaf values, has gained recent attention in applications like feature attribution and data valuation. However, exact computation of these values is often exponentially expensive, necessitating approximation techniques. Prior research has shown that the choice of probabilistic values significantly impacts downstream performance, with no universally superior option. Consequently, one may have to approximate multiple candidates and select the best-performing one. Although there have been many efforts to develop efficient estimators, none are intended to approximate all probabilistic values both simultaneously and efficiently. In this work, we embark on the first exploration of achieving this goal. Adhering to the principle of maximum sample reuse, we propose a one-sample-fits-all framework parameterized by a sampling vector to approximate intermediate terms that can be converted to any probabilistic value without amplifying scalars. Leveraging the concept of $ (ε, δ) $-approximation, we theoretically identify a key formula that effectively determines the convergence rate of our framework. By optimizing the sampling vector using this formula, we obtain i) a one-for-all estimator that achieves the currently best time complexity for all probabilistic values on average, and ii) a faster generic estimator with the sampling vector optimally tuned for each probabilistic value. Particularly, our one-for-all estimator achieves the fastest convergence rate on Beta Shapley values, including the well-known Shapley value, both theoretically and empirically. Finally, we establish a connection between probabilistic values and the least square regression used in (regularized) datamodels, showing that our one-for-all estimator can solve a family of datamodels simultaneously.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.755
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.003
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.109
GPT teacher head0.218
Teacher spread0.109 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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