Constructing climate change rentierism in Jordan
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Jordan is exceptionally vulnerable to climate change and has limited adaptive capacities. It is also a non-democratic state with an ubiquitous role for the monarchy that results in narratives that seek to promote the regime’s stability by securing external support in the form of ‘rents’. In this paper we examine how the government ‘rents out’ Jordan’s stability and its engagement with climate change initiatives to the international community through its unintentional use of fearmongering. Jordan’s vulnerability narrative, in particular, highlights its stabilising role in regional affairs (e.g. by hosting refugees from neighbouring countries) and attracts the support of external actors interested in its stability. While rent-seeking behaviour could serve as a short-term solution to the imminent threats imposed by climate change, it can also reinforce authoritarianism and divert attention away from long-term sustainable adaptation and mitigation activities.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.014 | 0.014 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.007 | 0.004 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.009 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.005 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".