The Impact of Cytomegalovirus Infection on Ulcerative Colitis Relapse: A Multicenter Retrospective Cohort Study
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Purpose: Cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection exacerbates intestinal inflammation in ulcerative colitis (UC) patients, yet the effect of CMV infection on UC relapse has not been fully elucidated. This study aimed to investigate the impact of CMV infection on UC relapse and identify associated risk factors. Patients and Methods: This multicenter retrospective cohort study included UC patients who visited research centers from January 2016 to December 2020. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were conducted to explore risk factors for UC relapse. Propensity score matching was used to balance the differences in the clinical characteristics between the groups. Results: A total of 298 UC patients participated in this study, including 19 with CMV colitis, 37 with CMV viremia, and 242 CMV-negative patients. The 2-year cumulative recurrence rate was higher in patients with CMV colitis than that in CMV-negative patients (84.21% vs 51.65%, p = 0.01). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses confirmed that fecal calprotectin ≥ 250 μg/g, Montreal classification E3, CMV colitis, duration > 48 months, and serum albumin < 30 g/L were independent risk factors for UC relapse at 2 years, whereas the use of biologics for induction of remission was identified as an independent protective factor. Conclusion: Our study suggests that the risk of relapse increases among UC patients with CMV colitis over two years. Risk factors for UC relapse at 2 years include fecal calprotectin ≥ 250 μg/g, Montreal classification E3, CMV colitis, UC duration > 48 months, and albumin < 30 g/L, whereas the use of biologics during induction is a protective factor. Plain Language Summary: Patients with ulcerative colitis and cytomegalovirus colitis are at a higher risk of relapse over a 2-year period than those who are CMV negative. Additionally, we identified several risk factors for UC relapse at 2 years, including fecal calprotectin ≥ 250 μg/g, Montreal classification E3, CMV colitis, duration of UC ≥ 48 months, and albumin < 30 g/L, whereas the administration of biologics during remission induction contributed to reducing UC relapse. Keywords: Ulcerative colitis, cytomegalovirus colitis, relapse, risk factors
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.009 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it