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Fusing Ice Surface Temperature with the AI4Arctic Dataset for Enhanced Sea Ice Concentration Estimation: A Preliminary Assessment

2024· article· en· W4404688582 on OpenAlexafffund
Lily de Loë, Linlin Xu, K. Andrea Scott

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicArctic and Antarctic ice dynamics
Canadian institutionsUniversity of CalgaryUniversity of Waterloo
FundersNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaUniversity of WaterlooOffice of Naval ResearchMarine Technology Society
KeywordsSea iceSea surface temperatureSea ice concentrationIce formationClimatologyEnvironmental scienceGeologyEstimationSea ice thicknessRemote sensingArctic ice packAtmospheric sciencesEngineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

While Arctic sea ice mapping supports several key applications (e.g., navigation, climate monitoring), its accuracy is impacted by remote sensing uncertainties and data limitations. The recent AI4Arctic dataset combines Sentinel-1 Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery, AMSR2 brightness temperature (TB) measurements, ERA-5 reanalysis data, and ice charts to improve deep learning-based mapping approaches. Nevertheless, AI4Arctic excludes thermal infrared data and it is critical to explore the use of these products, which may improve predictions where SAR and passive microwave measurements are challenging to interpret. This study investigates the use of VIIRS ice surface temperature (IST) for improving SIC predictions. Our work builds on a competitive U-Net architecture, which estimates three parameters for automated sea ice mapping: SIC, stage of development, and floe size. A 30-scene subset of the AI4Arctic dataset is selected based on established criteria, and co-registered with VIIRS IST data. The impacts of fusing IST with other remote sensing data at the input- and feature-levels are explored using two fusion architectures. Experimental trials are conducted using these models, spanning six input channel combinations. Predictions are compared using evaluation metrics and SIC maps. When using IST measurements in combination with the original input channels, both the input- and feature-level approaches outperform the baseline model. This preliminary study suggests that IST data, in combination with TB measurements, improves predictions where ambiguous textures are present in SAR imagery or PM data is not able to contribute.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.003
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.003
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.020
Threshold uncertainty score0.040

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0030.003
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0020.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.010
GPT teacher head0.255
Teacher spread0.245 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations3
Published2024
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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