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Record W4404722324 · doi:10.5194/egusphere-2024-3586

Stratospheric Aerosol Intervention Experiment for the Chemistry-Climate Model Intercomparison Project

2024· preprint· en· W4404722324 on OpenAlexaff
Simone Tilmes, Ewa Bednarz, Andrin Jörimann, Daniele Visioni, Douglas E. Kinnison, Gabriel Chiodo, David A. Plummer

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicAtmospheric Ozone and Climate
Canadian institutionsEnvironment and Climate Change Canada
FundersNOAA ResearchEuropean Research CouncilNational Science Foundation
KeywordsAerosolCoupled model intercomparison projectEnvironmental scienceAtmospheric sciencesAtmospheric chemistryMeteorologyClimatologyClimate modelClimate changePhysicsGeologyOceanographyOzone

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract. A new Stratospheric Aerosol Intervention (SAI) experiment has been designed for the Chemistry- Climate Modeling Initiative (CCMI-2022) to assess the impacts of SAI on stratospheric chemistry and dynamical responses and inter-model differences using a constrained setup with a prescribed stratospheric aerosol distribution and fixed sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) and sea-ice. This paper describes the details of the experimental setup and the prescribed aerosol distribution. Furthermore, we discuss differences in the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (WACCM6) results between the interactive stratospheric aerosol configuration with coupling to land, ocean, and sea ice that was used to produce the stratospheric aerosol distribution and the results of the constrained SAI experiment. With this, we identify and isolate the stratosphere-controlled SAI-induced impacts from those influenced by the coupling with the ocean. We confirm earlier suggestions that the SAI-induced positive phase of the Northern Atlantic Oscillation in winter, with the corresponding winter warming over Eurasia, is directly driven by the effect of SAI on the stratosphere-troposphere coupling. We further show that the resulting stratospheric responses are largely similar between the fully coupled and constrained experiments, demonstrating the suitability of the simplified setup to study impacts in the stratosphere in a multi-model framework. Only small differences arise in the stratospheric ozone and dynamical SAI responses between the two experiments due to minor differences in the aerosol distributions and their coupling with local changes in temperatures, upwelling, and chemistry, alongside interactive coupling with the ocean and sea ice.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.003
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.009
Threshold uncertainty score0.017

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0030.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.039
GPT teacher head0.296
Teacher spread0.258 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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