Bibliographic record
Abstract
We focus on the statistics of SOC-related solar flare parameters in soft X-ray wavelengths, including their size and waiting time distributions. An early SOC model assumed a linear increase of the energy storage, but this pioneering model is not consistent with the expected correlation between the waiting time interval and the subsequently dissipated energy. The Neupert effect in solar flares implies a correlation between the hard X-ray fluence and the soft X-ray flux, which predicts identical size distributions for these two parameters. Quantifying of thermal flare energies in soft X-ray emitting plasma needs also to include radiative and conductive losses. The intermittency and bursty variability of the solar dynamo implies a nonstationary SOC driver, which yields a universal value for the power law slope of fluxes, but the power law slopes of waiting times vary with the flare rate. While our focus encompasses primarily SOC models, alternative models in terms of MHD turbulence can explain some characteristics of SOC features also, such as size distribution functions, Fourier spectra, and structure functions.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".