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Record W4405140453 · doi:10.54097/51tzcd54

The Contrarian Challenges Facing Behavioral Finance

2024· article· en· W4405140453 on OpenAlexfundno aff
Jiaojiao Guo

Bibliographic record

VenueFrontiers in Business Economics and Management · 2024
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicHousing Market and Economics
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersYork UniversityTouro University California
KeywordsContrarianBehavioral economicsBusinessFinance

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

In behavioral finance, the efficiency of markets is questioned due to potential influences of irrational human behavior. This paper investigates how these behaviors conflict with traditional finance theories and summarizes prominent behavioral traits. While there are many more non-rational human foibles than covered in this paper, this paper has presented just three behaviors that are viewed as non-rational. Those that have been presented are sufficient to cast doubt on the validity of our traditional views of finance and financial models. It is unclear at this time whether markets are completely efficient, only partially, or completely inefficient. It is important to ascertain the extent to which markets reflect efficient prices or not. Furthermore, it is possible that markets are generally, but not always, efficient, as many argue. The answer to this conundrum will profoundly affect the extent to which we accept or reject the traditional valuation models.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.020
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.056
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.020
Threshold uncertainty score0.107

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0200.056
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0030.021
Scholarly communication0.0060.013
Open science0.0030.004
Research integrity0.0070.013
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0080.002

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.023
GPT teacher head0.199
Teacher spread0.176 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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