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Record W4405353140 · doi:10.31234/osf.io/r5n6f

Throwing good effort after bad: Evidence for a sunk-cost effect in cognitive effort-based decision-making

2024· preprint· en· W4405353140 on OpenAlexaff
Mario Bogdanov, Sean Devine, Zetian Fu, A. Ross Otto

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicDecision-Making and Behavioral Economics
Canadian institutionsMcGill University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsSunk costsThrowingCognitionCognitive psychologyPsychologyEconomicsMicroeconomicsComputer scienceSocial psychologyEngineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The sunk-cost effect, an influential decision-making bias elicited by the consideration of past, irrecoverable resource investments toward a choice option, is well-documented for economic decisions. Contrary, evidence for sunk-cost effects for non-monetary costs, such as cognitive effort, has been mixed. Here, we present findings from two experiments in self-reported healthy adults (Exp.1 in-person, n = 36; Exp.2 online, n = 89), in which participants performed an effort investment task designed to assess the impact of past effort exertion on current choices about continuing or abandoning a course of action. Across both experiments, we found that prior resource investment substantially increased participants' willingness to invest further resources (i.e., to exert additional cognitive effort). Moreover, when current choices required higher additional effort exertion, participants were more likely to continue a course of action following larger versus smaller prior effort investments. These findings provide compelling evidence for the existence of an effort-based sunk-cost effect. Further, they highlight the importance of previous effort investments for influencing present choice behavior, indicating the need to refine contemporary cost-benefit models of effort to account for past effort exertion.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.005
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.025
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.006
Threshold uncertainty score0.024

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0050.025
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0060.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.166
GPT teacher head0.479
Teacher spread0.314 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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