A machine learning approach for identifying anatomical biomarkers of early mild cognitive impairment
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: Alzheimer's Disease (AD) poses a major challenge as a neurodegenerative disorder, and early detection is critical for effective intervention. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is a critical tool in AD research due to its availability and cost-effectiveness in clinical settings. Objective: This study aims to conduct a comprehensive analysis of machine learning (ML) methods for MRI-based biomarker selection and classification to investigate early cognitive decline in AD. The focus to discriminate between classifying healthy control (HC) participants who remained stable and those who developed mild cognitive impairment (MCI) within five years (unstable HC or uHC). Methods: 3-Tesla (3T) MRI data from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) and Open Access Series of Imaging Studies 3 (OASIS-3) were used, focusing on HC and uHC groups. Freesurfer's recon-all and other tools were used to extract anatomical biomarkers from subcortical and cortical brain regions. ML techniques were applied for feature selection and classification, using the MATLAB Classification Learner (MCL) app for initial analysis, followed by advanced methods such as nested cross-validation and Bayesian optimization, which were evaluated within a Monte Carlo replication analysis as implemented in our customized pipeline. Additionally, polynomial regression-based data harmonization techniques were used to enhance ML and statistical analysis. In our study, ML classifiers were evaluated using performance metrics such as Accuracy (Acc), area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AROC), F1-score, and a normalized Matthew's correlation coefficient (MCC'). Results: -score harmonization and ReliefF feature selection performed best (Acc = 69.17%, AROC = 77.73%, F1 = 69.21%, MCC' = 69.28%). For OASIS-3 balanced datasets, SVM with zscore-corrected data outperformed others (Acc = 66.58%, AROC = 72.01%, MCC' = 66.78%), while logistic regression had the best F1-score (66.68%). In imbalanced data, RUSBoost showed the strongest overall performance on ADNI (F1 = 50.60%, AROC = 81.54%) and OASIS-3 (MCC' = 63.31%). Support vector machine (SVM) excelled on ADNI in terms of Acc (82.93%) and MCC' (70.21%), while naïve Bayes performed best on OASIS-3 by F1 (42.54%) and AROC (70.33%). Conclusion: -score harmonization yielding the best results. This study also highlights the importance of nested cross-validation (CV) to control overfitting and the potential of a semi-automatic pipeline for early AD detection using MRI, with future applications integrating other neuroimaging data to enhance prediction.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".