Evaluating permutation-based inference for partial least squares analysis of neuroimaging data
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Partial least squares (PLS) is actively leveraged in neuroimaging work, typically to map latent variables (LVs) representing brain-behaviour associations. LVs are considered statistically significant if they tend to capture more covariance than LVs derived from permuted data, with a Procrustes rotation applied to map each set of permuted LVs to the space defined by the originals, creating an "apples to apples" comparison. Yet, it has not been established whether applying the rotation makes the permutation test more sensitive to whether true LVs are present in a dataset, and it is unclear whether significance alone is sufficient to fully characterize a PLS decomposition, given that complementary metrics such as strength and split-half stability may offer non-redundant information about the LVs. Accordingly, we performed PLS analyses across a range of simulated datasets with known latent effects, observing that the Procrustes rotation systematically weakened the null distributions for the first LV. By extension, the first LV was nearly always significant, regardless of whether the effect was weak, undersampled, noisy, or simulated at all. But, if no rotation was applied, all possible LVs tended to be significant as we increased the sample size of UK Biobank datasets. Meanwhile, LV strength and stability metrics accurately tracked our confidence that effects were present in simulated data, and allowed for a more nuanced assessment of which LVs may be relevant in the UK Biobank. We end by presenting a list of considerations for researchers implementing PLS permutation testing, and by discussing promising alternative tests which may alleviate the concerns raised by our findings.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.046 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it